
Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026?

Jan 7, 2027
$21.13K Vol.

End date: Jan 7, 2027
Outcomes

7.9 or below
$15.4K Vol.
79%
79%

8.0 – 8.1
$2.06K Vol.
12%
12%

8.2 – 8.3
$2.11K Vol.
7%
7%

8.4 – 8.5
$373.86 Vol.
<1%
<1%

8.6 – 8.7
$478.58 Vol.
3%
3%

8.8 – 8.9
$375.96 Vol.
<1%
<1%

9.0 or above
$333.86 Vol.
3%
3%
Rules
This market will resolve based on the USGS preferred magnitude of the largest (highest-magnitude) earthquake to occur anywhere on Earth between January 1, 2026, 12:00:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59:59 PM ET. The "7.9 or below" bracket covers any case in which the highest-magnitude earthquake during this market's timeframe is below 8.0, including the magnitude 7.8 already recorded in 2026 and any lower value.
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