
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

Jan 1, 2027
$2.89M Vol.

End date: Jan 1, 2027
Outcomes

October 31, 2026
$153.14K Vol.
<1%
<1%

November 30, 2026
$14.11K Vol.
3%
3%

December 31, 2026
$2.32M Vol.
5%
5%

March 31, 2027
$3.21K Vol.
19%
19%

June 30, 2027
$3.29K Vol.
30%
30%

December 31, 2027
$7.94K Vol.
42%
42%
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
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