End date
Jun 30, 2026
$283,962 Vol.
Outcome
% Chance
$4.84K Vol.
35%
Anthropic
Anthropic
$3.14K Vol.
32%
xAI
xAI
$2.99K Vol.
13%
OpenAI
OpenAI
$36.77K Vol.
12%
Alibaba
Alibaba
$47.03K Vol.
6%
DeepSeek
DeepSeek
$77.05K Vol.
4%
Mistral
Mistral
$2.01K Vol.
3%
Z.ai
Z.ai
$89.71K Vol.
3%
Meituan
Meituan
$1.78K Vol.
3%
Moonshot
Moonshot
$18.63K Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.