Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?
Jan 1, 2027
$220.77K Vol.
Outcomes
Anthropic
$2.23K Vol.
76%
76%
OpenAI
$40.52K Vol.
14%
14%
Meta
$24.37K Vol.
9%
9%
xAI
$10.95K Vol.
7%
7%
DeepSeek
$25.31K Vol.
6%
6%
Baidu
$3.67K Vol.
5%
5%
Amazon
$9.19K Vol.
5%
5%
Alibaba
$5.66K Vol.
5%
5%
Microsoft
$5.45K Vol.
5%
5%
Z.ai
$8.05K Vol.
4%
4%
Moonshot
$15.2K Vol.
3%
3%
Mistral
$12.93K Vol.
3%
3%
Meituan
$6.16K Vol.
3%
3%
ByteDance
$4.74K Vol.
<1%
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
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