US economic state at the end of 2026?
US economic state at the end of 2026?
Feb 1, 2027
$109.09K Vol.
Outcomes
Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)
$36.63K Vol.
73%
73%
Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)
$50.7K Vol.
24%
24%
Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)
$14.32K Vol.
1%
1%
Slack (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)
$7.45K Vol.
1%
1%
Rules
The unemployment rate is defined as the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed as a percent of the civilian labor force, denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation release. The inflation rate is defined as the 12-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Consumer Price Index release.
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Comments (7)