Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?
$3.37M Vol.
1d
6h
17m
End date
Feb 28, 2026
$3,367,232 Vol.
Outcome
% Chance
February 23
February 23
$70.21K Vol.
<1%
February 24
February 24
$53.45K Vol.
<1%
February 25
February 25
$41.68K Vol.
<1%
February 26
February 26
$117.44K Vol.
>99%
February 27
February 27
$26.73K Vol.
48%
February 28
February 28
$40.41K Vol.
42%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Lebanese soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".