Measles cases in U.S. by February 28?
$865.08K Vol.
1d
7h
38m
End date
Feb 28, 2026
$865,084 Vol.
Outcome
% Chance
1000
1000
$237.11K Vol.
>99%
1050
1050
$82.3K Vol.
88%
1100
1100
$129.59K Vol.
19%
1150
1150
$68.34K Vol.
3%
1200
1200
$187.4K Vol.
1%
1250
1250
$28.2K Vol.
1%
1300
1300
$30.52K Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".