
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 2027
$7.06M Vol.
Outcomes

4.25%
$575.85K Vol.
60%
60%

≥ 4.5%
$2.43M Vol.
21%
21%

1.25
$155.14K Vol.
<1%
<1%

1.5%
$152.34K Vol.
<1%
<1%

1.75%
$155.11K Vol.
<1%
<1%

2.0%
$270.82K Vol.
<1%
<1%

2.25%
$94.94K Vol.
<1%
<1%

2.5%
$181.71K Vol.
<1%
<1%

2.75%
$71.12K Vol.
<1%
<1%

3.0%
$501.47K Vol.
<1%
<1%

3.25%
$88.01K Vol.
<1%
<1%

3.5%
$208.51K Vol.
<1%
<1%

3.75%
$540.27K Vol.
1%
1%

4.0%
$1.38M Vol.
9%
9%

≤1.0%
$265.8K Vol.
<1%
<1%
Rules
The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
Comments (5)
Comments (5)