
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

Apr 1, 2027
$568.18K Vol.

End date: Apr 1, 2027
Outcomes

5.0%
$156.49K Vol.
5%
5%

5.5%
$216.88K Vol.
3%
3%

6.0%
$103.58K Vol.
<1%
<1%

7.0%
$37.25K Vol.
2%
2%

10.0%
$53.99K Vol.
2%
2%
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
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Comments (21)