Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?
Nov 4, 2026
$25.18K Vol.
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?
End date: Nov 4, 2026
Outcomes
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate
$473.06 Vol.
New
62%
62%
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate
$12.91K Vol.
New
32%
32%
Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate
$8.06K Vol.
New
3%
3%
Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate
$3.73K Vol.
New
2%
2%
Rules
The rules for this market are this: polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/usp.pdf.
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