
Which cities face tornado risk on October 11?

Oct 12, 2026
$1.86K Vol.

End date: Oct 12, 2026
Outcomes

Charlotte, NC
$20 Vol.
New
50%
50%

Wichita, KS
$67.03 Vol.
New
50%
50%

Indianapolis, IN
$64.25 Vol.
New
25%
25%

Nashville, TN
$65.55 Vol.
New
3%
3%

New Orleans, LA
$67.03 Vol.
New
3%
3%

Birmingham, AL
$64.62 Vol.
New
3%
3%

Des Moines, IA
$74.33 Vol.
New
3%
3%

Little Rock, AR
$66.66 Vol.
New
3%
3%

Columbus, OH
$190 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

Atlanta, GA
$46.66 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

Houston, TX
$66.55 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

San Antonio, TX
$65 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

Dallas, TX
$65 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

Fort Worth, TX
$65 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

Denver, CO
$65.05 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

Oklahoma City, OK
$67.11 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

Memphis, TN
$60.05 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

Louisville, KY
$66.41 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

Kansas City, MO
$60 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

Omaha, NE
$70 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

Minneapolis, MN
$70 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

Tampa, FL
$65.55 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

St. Louis, MO
$85 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

Chicago, IL
$196.05 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

Austin, TX
$70 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed city that falls within a tornado probability area rated ≥2% in the NOAA Storm Prediction Center Day 1 Convective Outlook on October 11, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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