
Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory

Oct 20, 2026
$4.27K Vol.

End date: Oct 20, 2026
Outcomes

Remain 40–60%
$1.68K Vol.
New
66%
66%

Remain 60–80%
$492.55 Vol.
New
19%
19%

Remain 20–40%
$1.35K Vol.
New
9%
9%

Remain <20%
$269.1 Vol.
New
4%
4%

Remain 80%+
$130.13 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

Leave wins
$353.07 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%
Rules
Alberta is scheduled to hold a provincial referendum on October 19, 2026. Question 10 asks: "Should Alberta remain a province in Canada, or should the Government of Alberta commence the legal process required under the Canadian Constitution to hold a binding provincial referendum on whether or not Alberta should separate from Canada?"
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