
How long will downtown LA's 100°F streak last?

Nov 1, 2026
$2.14K Vol.

End date: Nov 1, 2026
Outcomes

Four
$504.22 Vol.
New
97%
97%

Six
$572.72 Vol.
New
3%
3%

Seven or more
$532.3 Vol.
New
1%
1%

Five
$532.27 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%
Rules
This market resolves according to the length, in consecutive calendar days, of the streak of days with a daily maximum temperature of 100°F or higher at Downtown Los Angeles that began on October 2, 2026. The streak ends on the first calendar day on which the daily maximum temperature is below 100°F, and this market resolves to the total number of consecutive days in the streak. The streak had already reached four days when this market was created, so it cannot total fewer than four.
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