
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in October?

Nov 1, 2026
$3.14K Vol.

End date: Nov 1, 2026
Outcomes

Below 4.92%
$302 Vol.
New
65%
65%

Below 4.95%
$561.83 Vol.
New
62%
62%

Below 4.89%
$20 Vol.
New
62%
62%

Below 4.83%
$506.01 Vol.
New
59%
59%

Below 4.86%
$240 Vol.
New
41%
41%

Below 4.80%
$296.89 Vol.
New
39%
39%

Below 4.75%
$609.39 Vol.
New
32%
32%

Below 4.70%
$319.14 Vol.
New
19%
19%

Below 4.65%
$309.48 Vol.
New
14%
14%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between October 2, 2026 and October 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
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