
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in October?

Nov 1, 2026
$2.9K Vol.

End date: Nov 1, 2026
Outcomes

Below 5.15%
$0 Vol.
60%
60%

Below 5.18%
$548.59 Vol.
52%
52%

Below 5.12%
$425.87 Vol.
49%
49%

Below 5.09%
$160 Vol.
48%
48%

Below 5.05%
$86.11 Vol.
43%
43%

Below 4.90%
$439.68 Vol.
41%
41%

Below 4.85%
$641.01 Vol.
31%
31%

Below 5.00%
$355.63 Vol.
24%
24%

Below 4.95%
$241.4 Vol.
22%
22%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between October 2, 2026 and October 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
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