
How strong will Choi-wan be?

Oct 16, 2026
$8.28K Vol.

End date: Oct 16, 2026
Outcomes

Very strong
$257.85 Vol.
New
49%
49%

Violent
$476.85 Vol.
New
31%
31%

Strong
$142.27 Vol.
New
19%
19%

Severe tropical storm or weaker
$7.4K Vol.
New
9%
9%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the peak intensity of Choi-wan. Peak intensity means the highest intensity class the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) assigns to Choi-wan in an analysis published for the storm. Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to "Yes". If JMA never assigns Choi-wan an intensity class, this market will resolve to "Severe tropical storm or weaker". JMA's own bounds: "Severe tropical storm or weaker" is under 33 m/s (64 kt), "Strong" is 33 to 44 m/s (64 to 85 kt), "Very strong" is 44 to 54 m/s (85 to 105 kt), and "Violent" is 54 m/s (105 kt) or more.
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