Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of October 6, 2026
Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of October 6, 2026
Oct 8, 2026
$3.82K Vol.
Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of October 6, 2026
End date: Oct 8, 2026
Outcomes
Oklahoma
$60 Vol.
New
95%
95%
Nevada
$160 Vol.
New
95%
95%
Nebraska
$60 Vol.
New
94%
94%
Colorado
$30 Vol.
New
93%
93%
Idaho
$30 Vol.
New
93%
93%
Texas
$998.99 Vol.
New
93%
93%
Wisconsin
$0 Vol.
New
89%
89%
North Carolina
$228.6 Vol.
New
78%
78%
Mississippi
$291.81 Vol.
New
72%
72%
Arkansas
$801.54 Vol.
New
40%
40%
Wyoming
$0 Vol.
New
8%
8%
Montana
$20 Vol.
New
6%
6%
Kansas
$20 Vol.
New
6%
6%
Kentucky
$100 Vol.
New
6%
6%
Minnesota
$20 Vol.
New
6%
6%
West Virginia
$220.1 Vol.
New
6%
6%
South Carolina
$0 Vol.
New
6%
6%
South Dakota
$0 Vol.
New
6%
6%
Georgia
$30 Vol.
New
6%
6%
New Mexico
$0 Vol.
New
6%
6%
Iowa
$29.99 Vol.
New
6%
6%
Indiana
$30 Vol.
New
6%
6%
Illinois
$30 Vol.
New
6%
6%
Oregon
$0 Vol.
New
6%
6%
Louisiana
$0 Vol.
New
5%
5%
Utah
$270 Vol.
New
5%
5%
Arizona
$180 Vol.
New
5%
5%
Delaware
$29.99 Vol.
New
5%
5%
Missouri
$0 Vol.
New
5%
5%
Virginia
$0 Vol.
New
5%
5%
Washington
$0 Vol.
New
5%
5%
Tennessee
$0 Vol.
New
5%
5%
Alabama
$0 Vol.
New
4%
4%
Maryland
$100 Vol.
New
4%
4%
North Dakota
$10 Vol.
New
4%
4%
Pennsylvania
$0 Vol.
New
4%
4%
California
$31 Vol.
New
3%
3%
New Jersey
$0 Vol.
New
3%
3%
Ohio
$0 Vol.
New
3%
3%
Florida
$40 Vol.
New
3%
3%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed state that has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of October 6, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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