
Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?

Jul 1, 2027
$8.7K Vol.
Outcomes

1500+
$374.12 Vol.
89%
89%

1510+
$1.72K Vol.
76%
76%

1520+
$2.67K Vol.
57%
57%

1530+
$1.6K Vol.
34%
34%

1540+
$2.33K Vol.
17%
17%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Anthropic Claude Fable model (5.2+) added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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