
Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of September 29, 2026

Oct 1, 2026
$5.2K Vol.

End date: Oct 1, 2026
Outcomes

New Mexico
$192 Vol.
New
99%
99%

Colorado
$521 Vol.
New
99%
99%

Arkansas
$0 Vol.
New
98%
98%

Idaho
$0 Vol.
New
98%
98%

Oklahoma
$0 Vol.
New
98%
98%

Texas
$122.98 Vol.
New
98%
98%

Mississippi
$478.9 Vol.
New
96%
96%

Nevada
$65 Vol.
New
96%
96%

Oregon
$56.73 Vol.
New
96%
96%

Nebraska
$87 Vol.
New
95%
95%

Wisconsin
$41 Vol.
New
90%
90%

North Carolina
$21 Vol.
New
75%
75%

Utah
$52 Vol.
New
26%
26%

Missouri
$12.25 Vol.
New
13%
13%

Wyoming
$203 Vol.
New
9%
9%

Kansas
$0 Vol.
New
6%
6%

Indiana
$266 Vol.
New
5%
5%

Minnesota
$79 Vol.
New
5%
5%

Arizona
$310.2 Vol.
New
5%
5%

Georgia
$42 Vol.
New
5%
5%

Maryland
$0 Vol.
New
5%
5%

Montana
$0 Vol.
New
5%
5%

Pennsylvania
$40 Vol.
New
5%
5%

South Carolina
$0 Vol.
New
5%
5%

South Dakota
$0 Vol.
New
5%
5%

Tennessee
$0 Vol.
New
5%
5%

Virginia
$42 Vol.
New
5%
5%

Washington
$103 Vol.
New
5%
5%

Kentucky
$40 Vol.
New
4%
4%

New Jersey
$622.95 Vol.
New
4%
4%

North Dakota
$0 Vol.
New
4%
4%

West Virginia
$20 Vol.
New
4%
4%

Louisiana
$0 Vol.
New
4%
4%

Iowa
$263 Vol.
New
4%
4%

Illinois
$389 Vol.
New
3%
3%

Alabama
$432.99 Vol.
New
3%
3%

California
$0 Vol.
New
3%
3%

Delaware
$0 Vol.
New
3%
3%

Florida
$0 Vol.
New
3%
3%

Ohio
$695.09 Vol.
New
3%
3%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed state that has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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