
Fed rate cut by...?

Jan 29, 2028
$3.73M Vol.
Outcomes

October 2026 Meeting
$206.42K Vol.
<1%
<1%

December 2026 Meeting
$386.94K Vol.
3%
3%

January 2027 Meeting
$578.76 Vol.
7%
7%

March 2027 Meeting
$396.66 Vol.
22%
22%

April 2027 Meeting
$50 Vol.
33%
33%

June 2027 Meeting
$27.34 Vol.
28%
28%

July 2027 Meeting
$102.44 Vol.
49%
49%
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for January 2026, currently scheduled for January 27-28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Comments (31)
Comments (31)