Next Grok Model (4.8+): Text Arena Debut?
Next Grok Model (4.8+): Text Arena Debut?
Jul 1, 2027
$3.18K Vol.
Outcomes
1440+
$1.93K Vol.
73%
73%
1450+
$517.28 Vol.
62%
62%
1460+
$447.24 Vol.
67%
67%
1470+
$290.16 Vol.
12%
12%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next SpaceXAI Grok model added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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