
OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

Jan 1, 2028
$4.23K Vol.
Outcomes

October 31, 2026
$2.3K Vol.
7%
7%

December 31, 2026
$1.93K Vol.
14%
14%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or Anthropic, or an official representative of either company, announces that the company has achieved recursive self-improvement by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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